Sean t rcp twitter

Sep 29, 2022 · Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "Democrats maintaining control of ... ... Log in .

[Sean T at RCP, RT'ed by Nate Cohn] Reminder: don't be a crosstab truther. You're dealing with small sample sizes, sometimes subjected to multidimensional weighting. They're mostly useful for patterns that appear across multiple polls, not for disputing the topline's accuracy. twitter“.@FiveThirtyEight nowcast up to 32.2% Trump. So we're at Russian Roulette with bullets in two cylinders.”

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At 266 electoral votes, Donald Trump stood just one state short of winning the presidency. And with the final RCP Poll Averages in a handful of battleground states showing Trump trailing by just 0 ...At 266 electoral votes, Donald Trump stood just one state short of winning the presidency. And with the final RCP Poll Averages in a handful of battleground states showing Trump trailing by just 0 ...Sean Hannity, the popular conservative political commentator and author, has never been divorced. There were allegations spreading concerning his divorce, however, these allegations turned out to be merely rumors. He has been married to his...“Most people on this site sort into the relatively extreme positions of the two major parties: Almost no restrictions and government-funded, or made illegal. But when analyzing the impact of this opinion, just remember that most voters don't sort neatly into either camp. 2/”

VA-10 was carried by McAuliffe by like 3 points, so if that flips it is beyond something we've seen in our lifetime and Rs are going to have 250+ seats.“@billscher @ThePlumLineGS I still think the biggest threats to Ds in a non-filibuster universe are things that can get to the core of their power infrastructure: national right to work, school vouchers, limits on public sector unions, tort reform, etc.”“@nataliemj10 @rp_griffin Oh I think it's probably maybe 5-10% of the population (though overrepresented on social media). But I also think the motivator for a large chunk of that isn't really safety.”Jun 1, 2022 · “Any of the remaining three presents a strong case, to my mind. I don't think it's AotC though. OK, fine, "I don't like sand" is arguably the worst or second worst line in all Star Wars history. But if you pull the Padme/Anakin romance and ninja Yoda stuff, it isn't terrible. 2/” In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users

“Put differently, if you had placed Kennedy on the 1968 Warren Court, he would have appeared to be a freakishly right-of-center justice. For that matter, Souter probably would have voted with Harlan, who held down the right flank of that Court. 6/”We all know that some people are just predisposed to say stupid things. Still, it’s one thing to see it on Twitter and another to hear it from the mouth of the person sleeping next to you. It’s not your fault.“Basic take on the Senate: There are 5 true tossups, with a handful of states on the periphery. Most of the R states have broken away in the last couple of weeks. So, for example, Budd v. Beasley might have been an upset pick, but it is going the wrong way. 1/” ….

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“On cultural issues, this will be, at least for the present, quite "liberal," but on economic issues, especially regarding things like the deficit, it will tend to be reasonably centrist, or even center-right. On foreign policy it will tend to …Nov 6, 2022 · “This remains the key chart for how big GOP House gains will be: Biden vote share by the number of districts with that vote share. At R+3 or so nationally, the GOP starts to climb the levy that Democrats built with Biden +10 (or so) districts. 1/”

“As I've said before, I think the alternatives offered up by the Tea Party purifiers and populists have largely been appalling. But if you look back over the past 40 years, its not hard to understand how this happened. 17/17”“If you don't want to know about the horse race, it's a big internet! Lots of people write about policy. In fact, there are more of them than there are of us, in part because there's no real mystery about the types of …“This is really straightforward, and it's one of those things that separates serious people from unserious ones in my mind. Heck, even if the blame ultimately falls with the GOP voters, there's no justification for becoming a party to this loon potentially winning. Not that hard.”

business degree requirements Jun 1, 2022 · “So many other low points, like horses on Star Destroyers, or Chewie fake dying, or C3P0 fake losing his memory, or the weird Kimiji storyline, or a Palpatine appropriating the Skywalker name. But here's the thing, most of the problems were not of Ep. IX's making. 7/” May 3, 2022 · “Most people on this site sort into the relatively extreme positions of the two major parties: Almost no restrictions and government-funded, or made illegal. But when analyzing the impact of this opinion, just remember that most voters don't sort neatly into either camp. 2/” perceptive imagehow to make bylaws Apr 18, 2021 · Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "For people under 16 this is less deadly than the flu. Not even on my radar of considerations. And as I said, in a few weeks if you haven't received your vaccine, it's pretty much on you. Especially given the teeny tiny risk of outdoor transmission to begin with.… https://t.co/Dw7OXIHcO4" “We're reaching the end of the second quarter, which is when election outcomes are more-or-less baked in. At this point, you really have to have Republicans as overwhelming favorites to take the House with solid margins, and strong favorites to take the Senate.” craigslist rv ri “Most people on this site sort into the relatively extreme positions of the two major parties: Almost no restrictions and government-funded, or made illegal. But when analyzing the impact of this opinion, just remember that most voters don't sort neatly into either camp. 2/” how to build an action planhendrick jeep service departmentu.s. gasoline consumption by year In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users 2018 ford f150 fuse box location Log in. Sign up“This happened in all the Senate races. Pryor was in the game against Cotton through much of the summer, but basically got the same vote share he'd been polling at from May onward; Cotton got all the undecideds, almost all of whom disapproved of the president.” apply for pharmacyword popularity over timeassociate limited brands aces etm Nov 8, 2018 · “I've gotten a few questions about the "split decision" narrative, and whether it should change if Ds pull out wins in FL-Sen and AZ-Sen (good chance in both!). This gets to one of my biggest pet peeves about elections analysis and sports analysis. 1/” "There are obviously answers to all of this -- if there weren't I would not have led with him losing four of five times or so. The point is, though, that he's not THAT far off where he needs to be to be back in this. 9/9"